The film in contention that I didn't get to see was
Suburban Mayhem, but I didn't think that would come into play much anyway.
BEST FILMKenny
Kokoda
Jindabyne
Ten Canoes
I reckon
Kenny,
Ten Canoes and
Jindabyne are all pretty set for nominations, but who knows. I'm sticking with
Kokoda because, despite my misgivings about the film, some people still really liked it and thought it was all "important" and shit. But, I wouldn't be surprised to see
Opal Dream in here as the response was really positive - everyone seemed to like that one, but enough for them to mark it on their ballot?
BEST DIRECTIONClayton Jacobson,
KennyAna Kokkinos,
The Book of RevelationRay Lawrence,
JindabyneRolf de Heer,
Ten CanoesDespite being a pretentious woman, I think the director's will choose Kokkinos for the lone director spot because Alister Grierson is not going to be nominated. Every issue people have with the film stems from his inexperience (people like the film because it's all patriotic and shit). Jacobson will be rewarded for making an Aussie comedy and, SHOCK, didn't suck. And Lawrence and de Heer (regulars in this category) should glide on through. I was gonna say that Murali K Thalluri was a cinch here, but has the recent backlack and big controversy against him harmed him? I think so.
BEST LEAD ACTORShane Jacobson,
KennySteve Le Marquand,
Last Train to FreoHeath Ledger,
CandyTom Long,
The Book of RevelationLedger and Long should show up here without issues. The last two spot I chose Steve le Marquand from
Last Train to Freo and Shane Jacobson in
Kenny. Most of the intensity
Freo is from that performance, even if it does go off the rails at the end. And Jacobson is really great as the lovable oaf Kenny. Gabriel Byrne, I predict, will be left off although I'd put him in before Le Marquand, Long and Jacobson at least.
BEST LEAD ACTRESSEmily Barclay,
Suburban MayhemAbbie Cornish,
CandyVictoria Hill,
MacbethLaura Linney,
JindabyneNo change in my predictions here from last time. Linney and Cornish are superb and even though Linney's American, that shouldn't matter.. While I'm a big fan of
Macbeth, I'm not sure how many others were but I've stuck with Hill and while response to
Suburban Mayhem wasn't that positive, everyone says Barclay is a riot so...
BEST SUPPORTING ACTORRichard Birrinbirrin,
Ten CanoesChristian Byers,
Opal DreamTom Budge,
Last Train to FreoGeoffrey Rush,
CandyI have NO idea. Rush's role is probably very love/hate and who knows if people actually nominate Birrinbirrin for being the comedic centre of
Ten Canoes. Byers was a charmer in
Opal Dream and Tom Budge had some good jokes in
Freo, but really I have no idea. John Howard could easily show up, as could someone from
Kokoda or even, heaven forbid, Linal Haft from
Solo or Angus Sampson from
Footy Legends.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESSWendy Hughes,
The Caterpillar WishDeborah-Lee Furness,
JindabyneDeborah Mailman,
The Book of RevelationSusie Porter,
The Caterpillar WishMailman gives the final act of
Revelation a much-needed boost of energy after the rape scenes suck everything out of the movie. Furness deserves to be nommed and win his category. What a comeback!! And the two
Caterpillar girls are Aussie veterans (specially Hughes making it two comebacks for this category) and are well-loved. But Leah Purcell could easily snatch a spot for
Jindabyne or Eve von Bibra who shone in
Kenny, but was she there enough? And then there's Gillian Jones who has a BIG FAT JUICY scene in
Last Train to Freo. Personally, I would really like to see them nominate newcomer Marni Spillane from
2:37 who shone through (moreso than Teresa Palmer who everyone mentions). Just like at the Oscars, this is the most "full" category.
BEST SCREENPLAY, ORIGINAL2:37
Kenny
Suburban Mayhem
Ten Canoes
Kenny and
Ten Canoes should show up with ease. For the last two spots I went with the polarising
Suburban Mayhem and
Candy. I wanted to put
The Caterpillar Wish here but that might just be too unextraordinary (it's not particularly daring or out of the this. It's just pleasant) (
edited cause Candy is adapted, put it 2:37 for no real reason)
BEST SCREENPLAY, ADAPTEDThe Book of Revelation
Candy
Jindabyne
Last Train to Freo
Jindabyne should fit snugly here, and I'm sure they'll wanna reward Kokkinos and Andrew Bovell for attempting to adapt
The Book of Revelation at all. The other two go to adaptations of completely different plays,
Macbeth and
Freo. Although I really think
Opal Dream could show up here. (
edited to fit Candy in, got right of Macbeth)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHYCandy
Jindabyne
Macbeth
Ten Canoes
I dunno, these all sound like plausible nominees. Right? Who knows...
BEST COSTUME DESIGNThe Book of Revelation
Candy
Kokoda
Macbeth
Because most Australian films are contemporary, Costume Design is always a category that you could pull out four random titles and they'd look respectable. I hope
Macbeth gets up there though, that was stylish design.
Revelation had hooded women and performance dancers! Lol, i dunno.
Candy and
Kokoda owe a lot of their credit to the realistic costuming.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGNCandy
Kokoda
Macbeth
Ten Canoes
God, I have no idea.
Macbeth should be nominated though and win. God those were good sets.
BEST SOUND2:37
The Book of Revelation
Kokoda
Ten Canoes
I have no idea. I'm sure
Kokoda will get in with it's war scenes and
Ten Canoes has crickets. Lots and lots of crickets.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE2:37
Jindabyne
Opal Dream
Ten Canoes
Again. I have no idea what they're choose, but these were the most impressive four so hopefully they'll go with these, although I would really like them to throw
The Caterpillar Wish a bone.
BEST EDITING2:37
Jindabyne
Macbeth
Ten Canoes
I dunno. This lineup makes sense in theory.
We'll see how I go. I also reckon they'll give their international awards (to Aussies working in foreign films) to Heath Ledger for
Brokeback Mountain and... let's say... well, they went with the girl from
Lemony Snickets last year so I'm gonna on a limb and say Natalie Mendoza for
The Descent. It it gets released here in time. Who knows though.