Showing posts with label Little Children. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Little Children. Show all posts

March 19, 2007

UMA 2006 Profile: Best Actor

It's getting to the point of the year where I just want to get my yearly awards, The UMAs, over and done with. I figure, there comes a point where I just can't keep waiting to see a movie like Half Nelson (not yet released) or where I just can't be bothered to see virtual non-starters such as Venus until DVD many months away (Best Actor being the only category it would seem to have any play in). I don't ever intend to see Blood Diamond - if I didn't see it before the Oscar telecast, I sure as hell am not going to put myself through it now. The only other conceivable player that I can think of is Ken Watanabe (Letters from Iwo Jima) who I will hopefully get to see before I do my awards.

For now though I thought I'd just go through the candidates. Who's in play for me and who is not. I haven't decided upon a winner yet, but it's a race between several men who give the best work of their careers. To be honest though, a lot of the men in this race gave their best work this year.

Gabriel Byrne in Jindabyne
Byrne is an actor I have never cared for. Not in a Coen Bros. film (Miller's Crossing), not in ridiculous horror movies (Stigmata), and definitely not in that awful sitcom he had (I don't even care about what that hunk of junk was called), so it came as a big fat complete surprise to discover how excellent he was in Jindabyne. I know I shouldn't have been surprised, considering he was being directed by Master Ray Lawrence. Never underestimate the power of Ray Lawrence.

Sasha Baron Cohen in Borat! Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Some may say it's not so much of a performance, but more of a piece of performance art (I've seen very similar things performed in Federation Square on a Sunday arvo), but name me one of those performance artists (talented or not) who managed to get this much out of people. The mark of a great performance lies in an actor's believability, so say people. And, well, the proof of that is in the film. If there was a more believable performance to the people involved (while, admittedly, being unbelievable at the same time, if that makes sense) this year then I must have missed it.

Daniel Craig in Casino Royale
The most sexually masculine performance of the year, that's for sure. But, you know what? There's more to Craig's performance than just sex appeal. Don't get me wrong, it's not up to the dramatic front that several other contenders reached (that's more due to genre limits than because of Craig himself), but what he puts out is so rich and layered that it seems rude to just dismiss it as either a plain ol' action movie performance or, even worse, a James Bond performance.

Leonardo DiCaprio in The Departed
I've always liked DiCaprio. From his first great performance (that would be his Oscar-nominated turn in What's Eating Gilbert Grape) I was sad to watch him flounder in the late 1990s after Titanic, but watching his reassurgance has been a delight. I didn't too much care for Gangs of New York, but DiCaprio's two subsequence Scorsese features have presented us with riches far beyond his promises back in the early 1990s. Oozing masculinity like nobody could have forseen, DiCaprio takes the role of a the cop in deep you-know-what and makes it edgy and exciting.

Aaron Eckhart in Thank You for Smoking
Yes, he's a sleazebag, but a sexy forget-the-buttons-i'll-just-rip-you-shirt-off sleazebag. That I was utterly under Eckhart's spell is a testaent to Eckhart himself and not, I presume, writer/director Jason Reitman. The highest compliment I can pay him is that I'd probably become an even bigger smoker* if I had Eckhart giving me lectures all day about how they're not as bad as the "good guys" say, despite the fact that I know full well how bad they really are.

* Don't look at me like that! I haven't touched the filthy things in over two month, I swear!

Hugh Jackman in The Fountain
My beloved reaches (unexpected, to some) untapped depth and wealth of character in Darren Aronofsky's The Fountain. Jackman is asked to make three seperate characters believable, compelling and emotionally attached. Others have done that, but how many can claim to have done it with three characters stretched over 1000 years? Taking the basic elements of a conquistador, a brain surgeon and a Buddhist space traveller, Jackman tunes into each one with the precission of said surgeon with a scalpal. He knows where to go and does it with a steady hand. The final product is simply amazing. Jackman also gets bonus points for being sublimely smooth in The Prestige.

Shane Jacobson in Kenny
The character of Kenny is one of those that has now instantly gone into the lore of Australian film. The reasons are quite simple. He's a lovable hard-working Aussie battler (the type that we love, apparently, oh so much). But the reason I liked him and the movie itself, was because Jacobson (with the help of co-writer and director, Clayton Jacobson) filled the character of Kenny with just enough good and bad to make him believable and endearing. Kenny is a man just going through life, dealing with things as they come. From the way he tries to charm a lady to the way he unclogs a terribly unappealing portaloo, he's truthful and funny in the best possible way.

Jude Law in Breaking and Entering
Law's character doesn't have any of the factors that helped make many of the other performances this year special. He's not playing a famous person, he doesn't yell alot, he isn't a sci-fi parable, or a sexy charmer. No, he plays an ordinary simple man. His problems seem so small and minute compared to the issues at play in the other films. But why should that be held against him? Law puts in his best-ever work as a man going through a sort-of midlife crisis because (I guess) he's bored and a midlife crisis feels like a good way to go. He is the real threat to take the crown from the more obvious/flashy/popular choices.

Heath Ledger in Candy
After giving the best male performance of the decade so far (in the UMA winning Brokeback Mountain, duh), Ledger continues his fine form playing a drug addict. The film wasn't the greatest, but what Ledger (and co-star Abbie Cornish) brought to the table was the irresistable rock-star meets down-and-out loser look that you associate with these characters. Sure, he's too pretty to be a drug addict (as is Cornish), but you can believe that he thinks he's the greatest (well, until it all turns to the crapper).

Clive Owen in Children of Men
This is a hard one to discuss. It's one of those performances that works in the grand scheme of the movie, yet is hard to define outside of those surroundings. There's nothing that screams with a big neon signs LOOK AT ME! LOOK AT ME!, yet when I think back over it, I can't put a finger to anything that was done wrong. I'm almost keen to say these are the best sort of performances (it works on the same lines as Jude Law's actually) because it's as good as the film that encompasses it and it never tries to be better because the actor knows it doesn't have to be. Am I making sense?

Forest Whitaker in The Last King of Scotland
In any other movie Whitaker would be right up there with a chance, but considering I thought The Last King of Scotland was a retched horrible disaster of a manipulation movie, Whitaker is probably going to be an unfortunate casualty. Whitaker was good, but my affection for it is constantly brought back down by my disgust and contempt for the movie. He'd be riveting if everything else around him wasn't being engulfed by the vile flames of hell sprouting up around him.

Patrick Wilson in Little Children and Hard Candy
Two performances with many similarities (men with hidden secrets), yet both equally amazing. You can, scarily I might add, believe how an underage girl could fall for his charms in the revenge fantasy Hard Candy while also believing, not as scarily thankfully, why he would be the drooling fantasy loverboy of suburbia in Little Children. And on neither occasion does Wilson let his leading ladies (Kate Winslet and Ellen Paige respectively) get away with all the best work. He's more than willing to steal some limelight for himself.

--

Over the next couple of weeks I'll be doing some more of these. Culminating in the 2006 UMA Awards. But, who knows, when I will actually get around to them. There are certain movies that I feel I must see beforehand and, well, y'all know how those things are.

March 5, 2007

Brief Movie Thoughts

A spattering of words about some 2006 films that I've watched recently but haven't commented on.


Sympathy of Lady Vengeance, dir. Park - If you were like me and despised Chan-Wook Park's earlier revenge-trilogy entrant Oldboy then you should probably check Lady Vengeance out because it is much much better. Park's visual style is much less grungy here, and instead ramps up the seductive cinematography with splashes of colour and well-designed sets and costumes. Much less needlessly over-the-top violence, instead the violence here is much more of the anti-violence violence. If that is such a thing. It's a deeply disturbing, yet imaginative and reflective piece. Yeong-ae Lee is wonderful as the title character, too. B

Little Children, dir. Field - I was not a fan of Todd Field's previous film, the Oscar-nominated In the Bedroom. Too lazily snore-enducing for my liking (the odd plate-smashing or bitch slap being the exception), but Little Children is (like the above film) much better than the one that came before it despite near-identical themes. Kate Winslet and Patrick Wilson are excellent as the title characters (or, that's what I assume the title means. right? or am I completely wrong?), but the supporting characters (like In the Bedroom) get the short change. Jackie Earle Haley's creepy paedophile character is used merely as a backup device for whenever Field gets bored with the Winslet and Wilson storyline (which, it seems, is quite often in the film's final act). There are slipups (the narration is at times awkward and unfocused) and characters are introduced and/or do stuff that is not explained (the woman who goes walking with Winslet is...?) Still, it looks and sounds gorgeous and the acting by the two leads more than makes up for occasionally mishandled second half. B

Pan's Labyrinth, dir. del Toro - There's no denying that this film is absolutely stunning to look at. From the wildly imaginative and thoroughly Oscar-deserved art direction, to the creepy and sinister make-up work, down to the much less-fantastical but just as awesome costume. It's also a welcome surprise for the ears, with the score and sound design proving effective. I don't think it works quite as well as it thinks it does - the transissions between the two worlds (fantasy and reality) seem slaphappy and disjointed, and there are unintentional goofs that arise. Still, it's a feast and I felt like gorging on it. B+

Tristram Shandy: A Cock and Bull Story, dir. Winterbottom - Something like the tenth film Michael Winterbottom has directed since the start of the decade (a quick check of his IMDb page says it's his sixth, but has made one other since with another two out later this year. Unfortunately, his apparently lust for filmmaking (something that should be applauded) doesn't work for him on this metafilm version of Tristram Shandy. An unfilmable book by many accounts (a character says so too in the film) becomes a film about the filming of said movie. While the film seems to tap into the main thematic device of the book (a man tries to tell his life story but is constantly interrupted, I believe), and that may be all well and good for the book, but for a 90-minute film it just doesn't work. It goes around and around in circles showing us stuff we have already seen and then breaks it up with scenes of actors being themselves that, save for the rare few occasions (the shots over the opening and closing credits are the funniest and best), just aren't that entertaining. Of course, Steve Coogan tries his hardest, but I was just dreadfully numbed by this film. The best part of the film was actually Gillian Anderson who is starting to make a name for herself with these sort of fleeting roles (see also The Last King of Scotland, or better yet - don't). Maybe Winterbottom should stop for a few months and work out a proper film? C

February 25, 2007

Quick Thoughts

I gotta start getting ready for work soon, but just some random things first.

1. Oscar predictions up later tonight when I get home from work.

2. I won't be on tomorrow because I don't want anything spoiled for me so that means (for me) no internet and if I turn on the TV I gotta make sure I switch it over to the DVD player as soon as I can. I don't want to "Departed wins at the Academy Awards" snippet or whatever which they do because they're (obviously) not aired live.

3. Little Children was strange. But I liked it for the most part. I didn't think Jackie Earle Haley was that great. Kate and Patrick were edible though.

4. Even if your movie is about a surfing gang called the "Bra Boys" why would you name your movie about said gang Bra Boys. That sounds silly.

5. I think I received an e-mail from Anthony Hayes the other day. How strange.

6. I'm hungry.

7. Is the ISP curse going to strike again?

8. Michelle Williams has a lot on her plate right now.

9. Michelle Williams' pixie hair is so cute. Is she doing a remake of Rosemary's Baby that isn't listed on IMDb?

10. God, I'm so hungry. I have to go eat right now. Starving.

January 3, 2007

SAG and PGA Predix

SAG

edited due to category mismanagement (<-Kris via Adam). God, these people are dumb.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble Cast
The Departed
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
ALT: Babel

I'm nervously picking The Queen over Babel. They both have two well known stars and a bunch of littler ones (Pitt/Blanchett, Mirren/Cromwell). I think The Queen is more of an actors movie, so I chose that. It's strange that The Devil Wears Prada is here, but it totally deserves it and if this prediction comes through then... well, I'll be happier than... something happy for some reason. I also feel like they could give Robert Altman one last honour with A Prairie Home Companion.. hmmm...? I also really wanna say Bobby cause I guessed that for the Globe position, but... really?

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
ALT: Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond

So, DiCaprio is out of Lead for The Departed and I'm not sure he'll make it for Blood Diamond, so I moved O'Toole back into the mix and DiCaprio as an alternate.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children
ALT: Maggie Gyllenhaal, Sherrybaby

I think the Oscar lineup will still swap somebody into the mix (ala 2003), but this seems like the standard list-of-five. I really hope that they include Penelope!

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Steve Carell, Little Miss Sunshine
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Stanley Tucci, The Devil Wears Prada
ALT: Jack Nicholson, The Departed, Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

I have no clue, really. I do think Tucci will show up though. I replaced Jack Nicholson for The Departed with, er, Leonardo DiCaprio for The Departed. I doubt Wahlberg can get in now over DiCaprio AND Nicholson.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Emily Blunt, The Devil Wears Prada
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Catherine O'Hara, For Your Consideration
ALT: Everyone, but I'll say Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal

Outside of Hudson, I got no idea where they will go. Both Babel girls? One? None? Blunt? Blanchett? Breslin vs Collette?

--

PGA
The Departed
The Devil Wears Prada ($$$)
Dreamgirls
Letters from Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine

or...

Babel
Borat
The Queen
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Flags of Our Fathers

I dread them nominating both Eastwood films as part of some big giant wet kiss to him.

December 14, 2006

Last minute HFPA nominations

Picture - Drama
Babel
Bobby
The Departed
Little Children
The Queen
United 93

Picture - M/C
Borat: Cultural Learnings...
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
A Prairie Home Companion
Stranger than Fiction

Actor - Drama
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Hugh Jackman, The Fountain
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, Last King of Scotland
Edward Norton, The Painted Veil

In my last lot I predicted an O'Toole snub. Not brave enough to do it again, but I want to!

Actor - M/C
Sasha Baron Cohen, Borat
Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
Aaron Eckhart, Thank You For Smoking
Will Ferrell, Stranger than Fiction
Jamie Foxx, Dreamgirls
Greg Kinnear, Little Miss Sunshine

Actress - Drama
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Sienna Miller, Factory Girl
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Gretch Mol, The Notorious Bettie Page (if it's Drama)
Naomi Watt, The Painted Veil

Actress - C/M
Annette Bening, Running with Scissors
Catherine O'Hara, For Your Consideration
Beyonce Knowles, Dreamgirls
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Renee Zellweger, Miss Potter
Gretchen Mol, The Notorious Bettie Page (if it's Comedy)
Abigail Bresland, Little Miss Sunshine

Supporting Actor
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Steve Carell, Little Miss Sunshine
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Brad Pitt, Babel
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed

Supporting Actress
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Emily Blunt, The Devil Wears Prada
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Emma Thompson, Stranger than Fiction
Maggie Gyllenhaal, World Trade Center
Meryl Streep, A Prairie Home Companion

Director
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Robert Altman, A Prairie Home Companion

Screenplay
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
Volver
The Devil Wears Prada

Score
Babel
The Fountain
Notes on a Scandal
The Painted Veil
The Queen
The Da Vinci Code
Volver

Song
Bobby
Casino Royale
Charlotte's Web
Dreamgirls
Happy Feet
Dreamgirls x2

Foreign Film
Curse of Golden Flower
Letters from Iwo Jima
The Lives of Others
Pan's Labyrinth
Volver
Water

Animated Film
Cars
Happy Feet
Monster House
Over the Hedge
A Scanner Darkly
Flushed Away

November 24, 2006

Golden Globe Nominations

Cause it's Friday night and I'm not in a mood to do anything except sit at home and feel lazy.

BTW, Because the HFPA cheat (a lot) I've decided to add an extra title in strikethru text incase they decide to go for six nominees.

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA
Babel
Bobby
The Departed
The Queen
United 93
Little Children

I dunno. Babel, The Departed (I wish that movie didn't have the 'The' in the title. Simply Departed sounds a big more intriguing and the 'The' is sorta confusing. What's departed?) and The Queen all seem pretty safe. I went with United 93 because it felt more... European? Yeah, that's it (..???..) and Bobby because that cast is I just think it has more heat than Little Children

BEST PICTURE - MUSICAL/COMEDY
Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
The Devil Wear's Prada
Dreamgirls (not The Dreamgirls)
Little Miss Sunshine
A Prairie Home Companion
Stranger than Fiction

Well, the middle three seem pretty darn lock-ish if you ask me. Borat is a phenom and they'll wanna look cool by nominating it. I went with Companion for several reasons (over, say, Stranger than Fiction or Thank You For Smoking) because a) it's got a big cast, b) it's Altman, c) it's a musical and d) they occasionally dole out these solo Best Picture Musical/Comedy nominations (think Best in Show or more similar to Prairie... Everyone Says I Love You)

BEST DIRECTOR
Pedro Almodovar, Volver
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Alejandro Gonzales Innaritu, 21 Grams

Condon, Scorse and Frears are safe I reckon and I chose Almodovar cause they probably love Volver, but it's inneligable for Best Picture (foreign language and all). And I stubbornly (some may say) am sticking with Greengrass being a force through the pre-cursors (it'll be him and Scorsese winning a majority of Director prizes methinks).

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA
George Clooney, The Good German
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Hugh Jackman, The Fountain
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness (ugh, this name annoys me)
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Ryan Gosling, HalfNelson

...Yeah, I omitted O'Toole. Not only am I doubting him here, but I'm doubting him with Oscar. As we saw last year with Brokeback Mountain's loss, AMPAS don't like being told what to vote for. Now, omitting O'Toole and substituting in Jackman probably sounds ludicrous, but it's just a crazy predition I've decided to add. I mean, he has had, like, 20 majillion movies this year. Although I wouldn't be surprised to see Ryan Gosling on there. But, still, O'Toole and also Forest Whitaker? They're just as troublesome as Jackman, Clooney, Gosling and all the others ('cept Smith who seems lockish)

BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, The Good German
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Sienna Miller, Factory Girl

Okay, so I originally had Blanchett for Scandal and not German, but the Envelope is saying that she is indeed Supporting for Scandal. And they love Blanchett (much moreso than AMPAS), so I put her in. The other four do seem pretty solid, but I wouldn't be surprised to see someone like Miller or, *gasp* Laura Dern just cause they like throwing curveballs.

BEST ACTOR - MUSICAL/COMEDY
Sasha Baron Cohen - Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Aaron Eckhart - Thank You for Smoking
Will Ferrell - Stranger than Fiction
Jamie Foxx - Dreamgirls
Ewan McGregor - Miss Potter
Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Greg Kinnear - Little Miss Sunshine

I'm sure Depp will score a nod here, but I'm putting in a sorta-surprise with McGregor for Miss Potter, which is by no means a confident a guess as Zellweger for the same movie (see below). But I thought I'd throw him in for the fun of it.

BEST ACTRESS - MUSICAL/COMEDY
Annette Bening, Running with Scissors
Beyonce Knowles, Dreamgirls
Gretchen Mol, The Notorious Bettie Page
Merl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Renee Zellweger, Miss Potter
Kirsten Dunst - Marie Antoinette

I would not be surprised to see six nominees in this category this year. I think Streep and Knowles are solid. Bening, well, they like her, right? Same for Zellweger, but has she worn out her welcome? Maybe, but if Miss Potter is the piece of whimsy they're selling it as, I would see it getting in here. And then there's Gretchen Mol who I just have a big hunch about. I don't know why, I just do. Dunst is right there with Mol for the young cutie spot that Scarlett won't be getting this year (or, I don't think she will).

You will notice that I haven't put Abigail Breslin there, and that's because I don't think the HFPA like children. I mean, they didn't nominate Anna Paquin or Keisha Castle-Hughes, which AMPAS loved (and with Breslin looking good for a nod there...) The last young performance I can think of is (teehee) Kirsten Dunst for Interview with the Vampire and (double teehee) Macauley Culkin for Home Alone. Not exactly orthadox choices, hey? Oh, and Jennifer Hudson is indeed supporting. And then of course there's four-time Globe-nominees Cameron Diaz and Kate Winslet for The Holiday, which I would normally put in, but... I dunno.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Steve Carell, Little Miss Sunshine
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Michael Sheen, The Queen
Brad Pitt, Babel
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

I think Arkin will get the Oscar nod (and, *gulp*, the WIN), but they love Carell so I'll go with him at the Globes. Murphy, Nicholson and Pitt seem pretty solid with these guys and Michael Sheen is the unknown they'll slot in cause they're generous.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Toni Collette, Little Miss Sunshine
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Sharon Stone, Bobby
Emily Blunt, The Devil Wears Prada

Consider this: Sharon Stone was nominated for Basic Instinct, The Mighty and (justifiably, I might add) for The Muse to go alongside her Oscar-nominated work in Casino for which she also won the Globe. Now, those first three were nowhere near getting Oscar nominations (right?), so I think it's fair to say they like Sharon, which is why I'm predicting her for Bobby (which I am also predicting for Best Picture Drama). Hudson is the lock to win, but the other three ladies (Blanchett, Collette and Kikuchi) look good on paper (the whole Adriana Barraza vs Rinko Kikuchi thing is so topsy turvy. One says Barazza and another says Kikuchi. I went with Kikuchi because based on a heavy and effective method of mathamatics I voted her as 'More Exotic' so I gave her the nod over Barazza. Technical, I know!) So many alternates though, Anika Noni-Rose, Carmen Maura, Jessica Beil and Emma Thompson (and I alternately put them all in at one stage or another) but I went with Emily Blunt. Crikies, I dunno.

BEST SCREENPLAY
Bobby
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
Babel

Er, I really don't know.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Gustavo Santaolalla, Babel
Mark Isham, Bobby
Thomas Newman, The Good German
Phillip Glass, Notes on a Scandal
Alexandre Desplat, The Queen (or The Painted Veil. They seem to like this dude, thankfully)
Alberto Iglesias, Volver

Okay, it seems that some of the major movies in each category (The Departed, Dreamgirls and Little Miss Sunshine have original scores. Or enough of them. Or, i dunno. They did award Moulin Rouge! and The Aviator here despite mininal work. Oh well. I dunno. This list of noms seems doable.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Cars, "Out Town"
Dreamgirls, "Listen"
Dreamgirls, "Love You I Do"
Happy Feet, "The Song of the Heart"
Shut Up & Sing, "The Neighbor"

Umm... this lineup, again, seems doable. Musicals, big stars (Prince! Dixie Chicks!) and whatever Cars' song is classified as (a song I quite like)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Curse of the Golden Flower
The Lives of Others
Pan's Labyrinth
Riding Alone for Thousands of Miles
Volver

LOL, i have no idea how they even nominate let alone what will be nominated. Is it based on movies released through the year, or what? I chose these five titles cause they make sense. I had Apocalypto in but then I remembered the incident and thought they will still be frowning up it and substituted it with a second Zhang Yimou title, Riding Alone for Thousands of Miles which seems up their alley just as much as Curse of the Golden Flower

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Cars
Happy Feet
Flushed Away
Monster House
A Scanner Darkly

I put A Scanner Darkly in over Over the Hedge for no real reason other than I would hope that the HFPA would use this category for good and not evil (I mean, I liked Over the Hedge but if it's merely 5/5 with Oscar, what's the point of that?!?)

Last Thoughts
I'm gonna love the presenters saying Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan multiple times. And I really wanted to put Shortbus down for something but I didn't know where! Also, I'd love for Heath Ledger to show up as a completely out of the blue Best Actor Drama nominee for Candy (it was released stateside last week)

October 8, 2006

Whither Little Children?

Is Little Children set for an unfortunate opening weekend? Why on Earth did New Line premier this movie on a five cinemas? On Friday it grossed $27,000. That equals an average of just over $5000. That means the movie is gonna need a BIG upshtick on Saturday to even come close to the two Oscar players that debuted last week in limited release. The problem at this time of the year with limited releases is that you run the risk of having your audience decide to see something else because there are so many films gunning for the quality arthouse title.

Last week The Queen averaged over $40,000 from 3 screens (and it was for only two days as it debuted on Saturday, not Friday. So it would have topped $50,000 if it had that extra day). The Last King of Scotland made just over $35,000 from it's 4 screens over three days. On it's opening Friday, Scotland had an average of over $10,000 already.

Also debuting in limited release was John Cameron Mitchell's Shortbus debuted with less, but avergaged more because it debuted on four screens (but that was a film that was going to struggle to make anything outside of New York and Los Angeles).

Where does this leave Little Children? Well, we'll see how much it finishes the weekend with, but it will most likely be under $100,000 and will also most likely not have an average of over $20,000. Those are not numbers you want to be seeing for an Oscar-chasing drama starring Kate Winslet and by the man who made Best Picture nominee In the Bedroom. Brokeback Mountain debuted with an average of over $100,000. Even Memoirs of a Geisha averaged $85,000 and that one had questionable reviews, unlike Little Children.

Now, In the Bedroom had very similar numbers and that, as we know, went on to a Best Picture nomination and a few others. But, I get the feeling that Little Children needs more than that. Especially this year with so many movies going after the "arthouse" spot on Oscar's roster. It's got a toutable attractive cast with a director coming off of an Oscar heavy film. I get the feeling they should've gone down the same route as last year's The Constant Gardener (also the sophomore effort from a director of an Oscar heavy film with an attractive cast) and A History of Violence, which both opened semi-wide to grosses of $8.5mil and $8.1mil respectively. But they got talked about because they were in the Top 10. They got press, which, a film like Little Children needs. What it doesn't need is to be languishing in the lower rungs of the box office chart.

Hopefully the word will get out and New Line will actually start to advertise it and it can follow the same path as In the Bedroom. But right now, I'm scared for it. I'm not sure I can handle having a movie like Little Children failing to make, in it's entire run, the sort of number that Employee of the Month (starring Nikelodean Awards winner Jessica Simpson, lol) makes it it's opening weekend.

October 5, 2006

Oscar Predictions - 05/10/06

Here we go. Another round of Oscar predictions. Some categories are majorly redone since my last set of predictions, some are still similar. Some movies have come and gone, others are on their way and are riding buzz. All this and Penelope Cruz, whose nomination I've been predicting since April/May thank you very much.

BEST PICTURE
Babel
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
The Good German
The Queen

Flags strikes me as this year's Gangs of New York. A prestige film from a prestige director that gets a bunch of nominations, but doesn't win. I really didn't even want to put it in but I didn't know what to swap it with. I don't think Little Miss Sunshine will be able to hold up enough to get a Best Picture birth, and I think Bobby will suffer a bit too much from the Wiensteins (I still really wanna see it though) and all the other contenders have big question marks. So, for now, this what I'm going with. The Good German could easily be a non-factor (as I originally predicted) but who knows. And The Queen? Just a hunch.

BEST DIRECTOR
Pedro Almodovar, Volver
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Babel
Paul Greengrass, United 93
Steven Soderbergh, The Good German

God, I know this is not how it's gonna be. I know it's silly to predict Flags and yet not include the Clint. But I really wanted to include Almodovar and Greengrass but thought they would recognise Condon and Inarritu. I really wanted to put Scorsese in there too, but has the director's branch had enough of him and Eastwood hogging spots everytime they make a movie this decade? (er, Eastwood stuff at the start of the 2000s doesn't count, okay). And let us remember, they nominated Dangerous Liaisons, yet somehow didn't bother with Stephen Frears.

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, The Good German
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children

eep, I did it. I dropped Bening. As much as I think she looks great, and if she does get nominated she will surely be a threat for the win, I'm not that sure. I've been wavering on her for a while. The trailer makes her performance look like a female version of what someone like Gene Hackman did The Royal Tenenbaums and that didn't get up. But, still, this lineup is incredibly strong-looking. Someone has to give, even if they all look rock solid (except for Blanchett who I threw in due to my wave of Good German love)

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Blah, I dunno. Whitaker and O'Toole are looking solid. Nicholson is getting big press and as we saw with Streep in Actress, when all the talk is about one big star and if their role is feasibly up in the air, they usually gun for the Lead spot. And he's Jack so he'd probably get it too. Smith... I dunno. He's certainly gonna be out there trying to get it. I'm sure he has a few stories about his kids that nobody's heard before that will charm the pants off voters.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emily Blunt, The Devil Wears Prada
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Emma Thompson, Stranger than Fiction
Julie Walters, Driving Lessons

Look, I'm sort of just throwing random things out there and seeing if they stick. Hudson still looks like the best bet despite nobody seeing the movie yet. Breslin is apparently excellent and not in the "i AM the craft of acting" way that Dakota Fanning always tries to appear. The last three spots I went on a weird crazy funk. I went on a limb with Blunt because she's young and hot and there's nobody else like her this year. Thompson looks to be supurb from the trailer and she needs a comeback. Lastly, Walters... yeah, I dunno. I love her so... Hmm, I really wanted to put down Rinko Kikuchi just fyi.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Tobey Maguire, The Good German
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Brad Pitt, Babel

Three of these are from movies I have for Best Picture so they make sense. Arkin... i dunno. He sorta makes sense. His last nomination was 1969! And this movie is much more widely seen than his last awards contender Thirteen Conversations about One Thing. Affleck could easily fall due to bad box office, which is funny considering everyone's saying this is his comeback from a string of flops.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Babel
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
Stranger than Fiction
Volver

Something about these nominations makes sense... but. I have a hunch about United 93. I know it's an odd one, but I have it. Let the record state that I wanted to put it in. These five however seem like viable candidates although not many people seem to be thinking about Stranger than Fiction for whatever reason. It seems like it fits perfectly into the Eternal Adaptions of John Malkovich vibe that they occasionally go for.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Departed
Dreamgirls
The Last King of Scotland
Little Children
Running with Scissors

The writers seem like the branch to respond to The Departed, Scotland and Scissors more than others. But, who knows. It's open as always.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Babel
The Blood Diamond
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
The Good Shepherd

If you've seen the trailer for The Blood Diamond you'll know why I'm predicting it. Dreamgirls, Babel and Flags seem solid here. Shepherd is lensed by Robert Richardson and, well, look at his record.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Bobby
Dreamgirls
The Good German
Marie Antoinette
The Prestige

I know it won't happen but I just really wanted to put Prada in there because omg. Seriously, here and Art Direction - that movie was TOPS. Damn. Oh well. These five however seem like good bets if you ask me.

BEST ART DIRECTION
Bobby
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
Marie Antoinette
Pan's Labyrinth

Yup, I got no idea. I've noticed that this branch like "contemporary" setting set in the past. If that makes sense. Like, yes, they love big ol' period settings, but sets for movies set in the mid 1900s regularly get in so why not the sprawling hotel of Bobby? Flags seems to have more interior sets than something like Saving Private Ryan and that god nommed. Marie and Dreamgirls are obviously the big ones, but Marie could easily be bypassed. I've decided to take a gamble on Pan's Labyrinth as these branches occasionally give foreign films a shot. But you know what movie I really wanna put in here... The Queen.

BEST EDITING
Babel
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
United 93

I don't see why this can't be seen as the most obvious lineup at this stage.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Charlotte's Web
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Superman Returns

I don't know if The Fountain can overcome some pretty depressing critics to place here. But, doesn't Superman Returns just seem like a nomination they could find too boring and ignore (hi Revenge of the Sith!!!)

BEST MAKE UP
Apocalypto
Dreamgirls
The Queen

Yeah, I think Pirates will be deemed ineligable. They love old-age makeup so I don't see how The Queen won't be nominated. Apocalypto and Dreamgirls should also have impressive makeup.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Babel
The Blood Diamond
Bobby
Flags of Our Fathers
The Good German (Thomas Newman also has Little Children)

Just a bunch of possibilities. Will Thomas Newman finally get the gold. With this lineup there would be no newcomers, which sounds about right.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Bobby
Cars
Dreamgirls
Dreamgirls
Happy Feet

I love "Our Town" from Cars but I hope "I Need to Wake Up" by Melissa Etheridge doesn't get nominated for An Inconvenient Truth. It's disappointing, that song. If the song in the Bobby trailer is the original song then it sounds impressive enough and with the apparently gigantic amount of new songs (isn't it up to seven by now? lol) I guess two will get in.

BEST SOUND
Cars
Children of Men
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

...i dunno. Makes sense to me.

BEST SOUND EDITING
Cars
Flags of Our Fathers
Happy Feet
Superman Returns
World Trade Center

You got me beat.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Australia - Ten Canoes
China - Curse of the Golden Flower
Canada - Water
Germany - The Lives of Others
Spain - Volver

LOL, I know. I'm completely biased in my prediction of Ten Canoes, but 'tev. I don't like you anyway. Spain is the only lock in a category that you can almost never say has locks (House of Flying Daggers anyway). That's why I'm not predicting Pan's Labyrinth here.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Cars
Happy Feet
Ice Age 2
Monster House
Over the Hedge

I've predict Flushed Away over Ice Age 2 but money talks, for this category its twofold. Firstly, Ice Age 2 made just under $200mil. Secondly, apparently Dreamworks and Aardman are having a falling out so they're not gonna want to spend money on Flushed Away.

And I have no idea about the docos or shorts. So that's it folks. Done and done.