I'm stealing from Adam and deciding to do predix for both LA and NY film critics.
I'll start with LA. They're definitely not afraid of sweeps (see last year's run for Sideways. They're also not afriad of indi darlings (American Splendor winning for 2003). They also throw out some oddballs occasionally (Bill Nighy winning Supporting Actor in 2003 for Love Actually, AKA and I Capture the Castle). Anyway, here we go. I've looked at previous years' winners and can't really see any particular trends, but I did my best.
Best Film: Brokeback Mountain (alt. Crash)
Best Director: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain (alt. George Clooney, Good Night & Good Luck)
Best Actor: Ralph Fiennes, The Constant Gardener (alt. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Capote)
Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon, Walk The Line (alt. Felicity Huffman, TransAmerica)
Best Supporting Actor: Matt Dillon, Crash (alt: Christopher Plummer, The New World & Syriana)
Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain (alt: Scarlett Johansson, Match Point)
Best Screenplay: Paul Haggis, Crash (alt: Woody Allen, Match Point)
Best Foreign Language Film: Paradise Now (alt: 2046)
Best Documentary: Murderball (alt: March of the Penguins)
Best Music Score: Gustavo Santaolalla, Brokeback Mountain (alt: Danny Elfman, Charlie, The Corpse Bride)
Best Animation: Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit (alt: Hoodwinked)
Best Production Design: Memoirs of a Geisha (alt: King Kong)
New Generation Award: Joe Wright (director), Keira Knightley (principal actress) <-taking a cue from Last year when Maria Full of Grace took this for it's director and actress - but, really, who knows?)
Now for New York. These guys tend to go for either the main arthouse movie of the season (Sideways, Far From Heaven, Mulholland Drive) or the big player of the season (Schindler's List, Saving Private Ryan, Return of the King). I think you can tell what I am predicting they'll go for. I'm cheating with Best Picture alternate, but whatev. This is MY blog.
Best Picture: Munich (alt: A History of Violence, Brokeback Mountain)
Best Director: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain (alt: David Cronenberg, A History of Violence)
Best Actor: PS Hoffman, Capote (alt: Eric Bana, Munich)
Best Actress: Joan Allen, Upside of Anger & Yes (Claire Danes, Shopgirl)
Best Supporting Actor: George Clooney, Syriana & GN&GL (alt: Gary Beach, The Producers)
Best Supporting Actress: Maria Bello, A History of Violence (alt: Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain)
Best Screenplay: A History of Violence (alt: Brokeback Mountain)
Best Cinematography: Good Night & Good Luck (alt: The New World)
Best Foreign Language Film: 2046 (alt: Downfall)
Best Animated Feature: Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit (alt: Howl's Moving Castle)
Best Non-Fiction Film: March of the Penguins (alt: Rize)
Best First Feature: Joe Wright, Pride & Prejudice (alt: Paul Haggis, Crash)
I seriously have no idea! Some of those are just bonkers. But if Cameron Diaz can win for There's Something About Mary, then Claire Danes can win for Shopgirl... or, i dunno.