Because I just think that they could go a bit batshit crazy this year. Plus, nothing else except Atonement was leaping out at me, and...
BEST DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
because I see them rewarding Anderson here more than Joe Wright and they reward Pic/Dir together more times than not.
BEST ACTOR: Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Because he's the finest actor of this generation and I don't see why two Oscars nearly 20 years apart is such a big ask.
BEST ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Because I think in a battle between Blanchett (recently Oscared as she is) and Julie Christie that Blanchett's is more LOOK AT ME (although, I've obviously seen neither) and, thus, more will remember her (especially since Away From Her will be old on DVD by the time of voting).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Because I think he'll be this year's steamroller contender. Plus, remember the way people reacted to the lump of puddy on Nicole Kidman's nose in The Hours? Those people will be the same with Bardem and his hair, trust me.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Susan Sarandon, In the Valley of Elah
Because she's a legend and I'm sure they'll have no qualms about awarding her again despite being allergic to awarding her earlier in her career. Plus, it's a Paul Haggis film and, hello, they love him.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: There Will Be Blood
Because they can.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: I'm Not There
Because it may be their best opportunity to reward Todd Haynes plus they rewarded the Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind screenplay so they're not adverse to structurally absurd writings.
COSTUME: Elizabeth: The Golden Age
ART DIRECTION: Sweeney Todd
CINEMATOGRAPHY: There Will Be Blood
VIS. EFFECTS: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
MAKE UP: Sweeny Todd
SOUND: The Golden Compass
SOUND ED.: Ratatouille
...there was absolutely no logic to any of that.