December 12, 2005

BFCAs know where Oscar is at, yo

Can I start a blog war, pweeze!!! Cause seriously, that BITCH Nathaniel is going around harping to everyone who'll listen, saying HE (yeah, him!) was the one who figured Crash would resurface in the Oscar race. Bitch, plz - i totally called it before him.

(I'm really tired, lol)

Let's go through the nominess:

Brokeback Mountain
Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener
Good Night, and Good Luck.
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line

er, okay. Why do they need 10 nominees? Is it so that, what Nathaniel suggested, they just want to be perceived as Oscar forcasters so they have 10 incase one or two or four flop and fall out? I think so. I see that these 10 are probably the 10 most likely to succeed (although I'd maybe swap Capote for Match Point when it comes to Oscar. Oh, and definitely Memoirs. I suppose Memoirs was still considered a big possibility when they cast their votes. But that's an odd nomination considering the reviews its getting (ie; worse than last year's nominee Phantom of the Opera

Russell Crowe – “Cinderella Man”
Philip Seymour Hoffman – “Capote”
Terrence Howard – “Hustle & Flow”
Heath Ledger – “Brokeback Mountain”
Joaquin Phoenix – “Walk the Line”
David Strathairn – “Good Night, and Good Luck.”

Well, this is an interesting category. They threw the man I'm sticking with through thick and thin (at this stage), Terrance Howard and also threw in my man Russell. I actually have no problem with Russell here cause if I remember correctly, critics loved him in the movie. In my currect predix my top 5 is made up of 5 of these 6 men. Is that a good sign?

Joan Allen – “The Upside of Anger”
Judi Dench - “Mrs. Henderson Presents”
Felicity Huffman – “Transamerica”
Keira Knightley – “Pride & Prejudice”
Charlize Theron – “North Country”
Reese Witherspoon – “Walk the Line”

Get rid of Charlize and I think we have our Best Actress line up. Sure, there'll be some changes between now and Oscar time, but at the moment, those 5 seem like the most likely nominees. It's funny though that at Dave Poland's oscar charts he's got Joan down at, like, number 11 yet his own peers think she's great...?

George Clooney – “Syriana”
Kevin Costner – “The Upside of Anger”
Matt Dillon – “Crash”
Paul Giamatti – “Cinderella Man”
Jake Gyllenhaal – “Brokeback Mountain”
Terrence Howard – “Crash”

Good to see Dillon on here, same for Gyllenhaal. it'd be great to see both of those guys up for Oscars. I still ain't feeling the Giamatti Oscar nod, but who knows? LOVED seeing Kevin Costner on here. Great choice.

Amy Adams – “Junebug”
Maria Bello – “A History of Violence”
Catherine Keener – “Capote”
Frances McDormand – “North Country”
Rachel Weisz – “The Constant Gardener”
Michelle Williams – “Brokeback Mountain”

In my last posted set of nominees (er, that was aages ago and not posted on here) I had Amy Adams for Junebug and now she's popping up everything in the nominations. Bello needed this. Williams is looking better and better. And Weisz got a great kick (as his her director). McDormand could conceivably pull a Laura Linney and become the only remnant of a previously hot tipped movie.

Good Night, and Good Luck.
Sin City

is here my default. Nice choice is Sin City (even though I don't like the movie that much) and Rent. GN&GL got a great boost I think. Syriana? meh...

George Clooney – “Good Night, and Good Luck.”
Paul Haggis – “Crash”
Ron Howard – “Cinderella Man”
Peter Jackson – “King Kong”
Ang Lee – “Brokeback Mountain”
Steven Spielberg – “Munich”

Clooney, Lee and Spielberg are firming up nicely (er, for oscar nods). Jackson got a bump. I feel convinced at the present time (sure to change no doubt) that Haggis' movie will get either a Picture nod and no director nod, or vice versa. Ron Howard? REALLY?!

Noah Baumbach – “The Squid and the Whale”
George Clooney and Grant Heslov – “Good Night, and Good Luck.”
Dan Futterman – “Capote”
Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco – “Crash”
Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana – “Brokeback Mountain”

Yawn. Usual suspects. Moving on.

“Chicken Little”
“Corpse Bride”
“Howl’s Moving Castle”
“Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit”

ditto. Is Hoodwinked really worse than Chicken Little or Madagascar??

Jesse Eisenberg – “The Squid and the Whale”
Alex Etel – “Millions”
Freddie Highmore – “Charlie and the Chocolate Factory”
Owen Kline – “The Squid and the Whale”
Daniel Radcliffe – “Harry Potter and Goblet of Fire”

Flora Cross – “Bee Season”
Dakota Fanning – “War of the Worlds”
Georgie Henley – “The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe”
Q'Orianka Kilcher – “The New World”
Emma Watson – “Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire”

DIEFREDDIEHIGHMOREDIE!!!! Loving Emma Watson though.

OMG, imagine if in the future, Dakota Fanning and Freddie Highmore procreated. They'd create the most demonic kids in the world.

The 40 Year-Old Virgin
Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang
Mrs. Henderson Presents
The Producers
The Wedding Crashers

Suggestion - Nat needs this category in his awards.

Kung Fu Hustle
Paradise Now

were these the only foreign films released this year? I swear they were. Oldboy is horrendous though!

“Hustle & Flow” – Terrence Howard – “Hustle & Flow”
“A Love That Will Never Grow Old” – Emmylou Harris – “Brokeback Mountain”
“Same in Any Language” – I Nine – “Elizabethtown”
“Seasons of Love” – Tracie Thoms, Jesse L. Martin and Cast – “Rent”
“Travelin’ Thru” – Dolly Parton – “Transamerica”

Seasons on Love? huh?! Emmylou's song is lovely, and I haven't heard the others. I'm really disappointed.

blah blah blah.

Nothing really singularly interesting. Brokeback, Crash, Capote and Joan Allen all got helped (any nods Joan gets is a big help!). I was surprised to see Munich passed over in all but two categories (Cinderella Man got more! Hell, so did Memoirs of a Geisha).

It really does seem though that these nominees are pretty much the basic outline of the current thoughts on what Oscar is going to go for, give or take a few nominees. Oh well.

I watched Gorillas in the Mist this morning. First time in a few years. I basically feel the exact same way. It's a B+ movie, dragged down by a C grade romance. So it's score? B-. Man, Sigourney Weaver rocked in the 80s! Why doesn't SHE have an Oscar?

To tell you the truth, I'd much rather Sigourney have one than Julianne at this stage. At least Julianne is still being OFFERED roles.


adam k. said...

The Freddie Highmore/Dakota Fanning comment made me laugh. What freakish little kids. Little Karyn Fanning Highmore would no doubt scare the bejessus out of me were she ever to be born.

I think these all solidified a bunch of categories down to like 8 people (i.e. the 6 who were nominated, and the 2 or so more who we thought would be).

The weirdest category is supporting actress. What happened to Diane and Scarlett? Assuming those two rebound with the globes (Scarlett will, at least... I mean, come on), so assuming they both make it, 3 of these women will miss, and it's hard to say which 3. Other than Williams, who has a strong film propping her up, I could see any of them easily falling out.

I don't understand the Weisz love without some Feinnes love, too... I worry for him.

And I think actor is pretty much down to these six, Bana and Feinnes... and such a close race. Unfortunately, Feinnes is looking to be the Liam Neeson of this year... didn't win that oscar for Schindler's List, and despite what seemed like strong early chances, falls by the wayside once again.

Kamikaze Camel said...

lol, Karyn Fanning Highmore.

Scarlett got nominated for A Love Song for Bobby Long or whatever that movie was called, I think she'll get in. Scarlett seems like a Globes darling.

The thing with Weisz and Fiennes is that, comparatively, Weisz is a big ball of energy and Fiennes isn't. And Weisz is probably the one that will leave the biggest impression with people when they leave the cinema.

I'd greatly appreciate it if Kinsey is never mentioned again on the blog by anyone other than myself...

I really didn't like that movie. C-.